Mentions

Palantir is briefly but explicitly named as one of the software companies the host is personally investing in, citing its proprietary data, compliance capabilities, and deep workflow integration as the key reasons it is resilient to AI disruption. The host's framework distinguishes companies that own systems of record and proprietary data — which AI agents will need to access and will therefore make more valuable — from per-seat workflow tools that are directly threatened by agents replacing human users.

The host is strongly bullish on Palantir, citing the May 4th earnings catalyst as a key inflection point. The stock is down 20–30% in 2026, which the host frames as a buying opportunity. He expects Q1 results to reflect full enterprise adoption from late-2025 deals and sees operating leverage driving EPS growth far faster than revenue, compressing the PE ratio from ~226 toward more reasonable levels. He highlights the near-irreplaceable moat from ontology and enterprise mode, diversified revenue across government and commercial segments, and deep institutional relationships as core reasons for holding and adding to the position.

The host is strongly bullish on Palantir ahead of its May 4th earnings, targeting a return to $160–$180 per share from current levels around $144. Key bullish catalysts include: Q1 revenue tracking toward ~$1.3B (up from sub-$1B per quarter recently), accelerating EPS growth via financial engineering and cost leverage, full enterprise adoption reflecting late-2025 deals, and deeply embedded US military relationships that generate recurring multi-billion dollar contracts. The host dismisses Anthropic competition concerns, arguing Palantir's Ontology and AIP platform are difficult to replace and that both commercial and government segments are expanding. Technically, the host identifies $130 as strong support and sees the current ~20% six-month drawdown as a buying opportunity. The host is personally adding to an existing 8% portfolio position and executing a May 15 $140 put-sell strategy (61% IV, $8.15 bid) to acquire shares at a discount or collect premium, with a break-even near $131. Wedbush analyst target is $230; host's own fair-value estimate is ~$185.

The host references Palantir as a direct historical analogue to bolster his pro-dilution thesis for SoFi. He recalls that pervasive social media narratives — stock-based comp is out of control, Alex Karp is enriching himself at shareholders' expense, the stock will never exceed $10 — kept retail investors out of Palantir at sub-$10 levels. He is unambiguously bullish in hindsight, stating the dilution 'didn't hurt the stock at all' and sarcastically wishing all his holdings would endure that same 'pain,' implying the subsequent multi-bagger outcome fully vindicated the growth-via-dilution strategy.

The host briefly but explicitly flags Palantir as likely to play an important role in the post-Mythos landscape, citing the core bottleneck of the new cyber security paradigm: finding bugs can now be automated at AI speeds, but fixing them cannot — especially at banks, hospitals, and other regulated enterprises burdened by tickets, approvals, and legacy systems. Palantir's enterprise software capabilities for operational complexity and large-scale data orchestration are the implied catalyst. No specific financial figures are provided; the call is directional and reasoning-backed but underdeveloped.

Palantir is cited as a second cautionary example of a stock that priced in too much future growth. The host acknowledges exceptional fundamentals — revenue growth peaking above 70% and a Rule-of-40 score he describes as 'Rule of 120' — and calls the company 'very exciting.' However, he notes the stock has been essentially flat since late June and is well off all-time highs, solely because the valuation became extreme and anticipated years of future results. The stance is bullish on the business but bearish on the stock's near-term ability to generate returns given how much is already priced in.

The host is strongly bullish on Palantir despite a 21% YTD drawdown, arguing the selloff is driven by noise rather than fundamental deterioration. The host directly rebukes Michael Burry's (now-deleted) claim that Anthropic is eating Palantir's lunch, explaining that Palantir is not a model provider but an orchestration, governance, and security layer for deploying AI inside high-stakes institutions — a fundamentally different and complementary product. Key bull-case metrics cited: 36.3% net profit margin, 60.8% revenue growth forecast, 108.6% net income growth forecast, 46.9% levered free cash flow, and a debt-to-equity of just 3.1%. The host also notes 70% YoY revenue growth last quarter with management guiding ~61% for 2026. The bear case is acknowledged as multiple compression risk (forward PE of 90.4) rather than business collapse. The host explicitly states the price drop does not break the thesis and views it as a buying opportunity for long-term investors who understand what the company is building.

El presentador realiza un análisis profundo de Palantir tras su caída desde máximos históricos. Identifica como causas de la corrección el exceso de expectativas en torno a la IA, unos múltiplos de valoración exigentes y la rotación del mercado hacia activos más defensivos. Entre los catalizadores positivos destaca la propuesta diferencial en inteligencia artificial aplicada, la expansión hacia el sector comercial privado, la rentabilidad ya alcanzada y la solidez de sus contratos gubernamentales de largo plazo. Sin embargo, advierte sobre riesgos relevantes: dependencia del hype de la IA, competencia creciente de grandes tecnológicas y startups, ciclos de venta largos por la complejidad del producto, concentración de clientes y dilución accionarial por la compensación en acciones. Su conclusión es que Palantir puede tener sentido dentro de una cartera diversificada con una posición controlada y horizonte temporal largo, pero no como apuesta principal ni para inversores que busquen estabilidad o resultados a corto plazo.

The host is strongly bullish on Palantir, dismissing the recent 26% six-month drawdown as a macro/sentiment-driven opportunity rather than a company-specific deterioration. He counters Michael Burry's bear thesis (that Anthropic will disrupt Palantir) with a detailed fundamental breakdown: revenue growing 56% YoY to $4.5B, operating profit margin at 31.6% and expanding 191% YoY, free cash flow at $2B/year (+84% YoY), and a fortress balance sheet with $7.2B cash versus only $400M debt (17x coverage). He also highlights rising institutional accumulation by Vanguard and Fidelity as a 'smart money' confirmation signal, and notes no key executive departures. The company scores 98/100 on his proprietary Stock MVP scorecard, above Nvidia's 88. Price targets over five years: bear case $150 (+30%), mid case $493 (+288%), bull case $1,231 (+717%). The host explicitly states he has never been more bullish on the stock.

The host issues a specific bear/caution warning on Palantir, noting it still has much further downside despite falling from $200 to $130. The reasoning is valuation: as the broader software sector compresses toward ~5x EV/NTM revenue, Palantir's premium multiple has significantly more room to contract relative to peers like ServiceNow that are already near those lows.

Despite being up 1,829% on his position, the host takes a bearish near-term stance on Palantir. He identifies three compounding headwinds: (1) growing public backlash over surveillance and ICE partnerships that he expects to intensify around election season; (2) competitive pressure from Anthropic, citing Michael Burry's warning that Anthropic now captures ~73% of new enterprise AI spending and has grown ARR from $9B to $30B in months versus Palantir's $5B over 20 years; and (3) — most critically — multi-quarter revenue growth deceleration from 70%+ down toward 40% and lower, which he says is the single biggest overhang on the stock. He reiterates a rangebound call of $125–$200 that he made last year, arguing growth investors won't re-engage a decelerating-growth story.

Palantir is one of the host's longest-held and most profitable positions, selected at IPO despite the company being unprofitable at the time—justified by perceived strength in data-analytics capabilities and revenue trajectory. His average cost is ~$22, and he has made roughly $400,000 on the position overall. However, he candidly admits selling a covered call at an $85 strike—which he calls 'literally stupid'—when the stock subsequently rocketed to 180+. He has since rolled the position from 85 up to a 115 strike, collecting credits along the way, and is up $13,000 on the current covered call. He frames this as an ongoing experiment in rolling a deep-in-the-money call higher without paying net debits, and expresses high long-term conviction despite the near-term management complexity.

The host runs Palantir through a full fundamental analysis using an eight-pillar stock analyzer. While acknowledging strong business attributes — 82% gross margin, no debt, more cash than debt, robust revenue growth projections (41–30% over four years), and a Pentagon 'program of record' designation with a 10-year $10B Army contract — the host is clearly bearish on valuation. The current price-to-free-cash-flow sits at 181 and the PE at 234. The price-to-sales ratio of 85 is compared unfavorably to Microsoft's ~12, and a four-year forward revenue estimate of $22B at Microsoft's P/S still only implies a ~$265B market cap versus the current $381B. The community intrinsic value came in at $94/share, and the stock analyzer's middle-case scenario yields $118, with the overall rating labeled a 'sell.' Additional red flags include net insider selling by the executive team and historically questionable accounting practices. The host explicitly states he has concerns about CEO Alex Karp and prior 'weird things' with earnings reporting. The wide intrinsic value range ($37–$339) reflects the uncertainty inherent in valuing a high-growth, relatively young profitable company.